This article evaluates methods for predicting coral bleaching and finds the MMMmax method has the highest predictive power across spatial and temporal resolutions. It notes that NOAA Coral Reef Watch users can have greater confidence in real-time bleaching alerts.
- MMMmax method outperformed alternatives in predictive power at all tested spatial and temporal resolutions
- Results indicate reef managers using NOAA Coral Reef Watch can more reliably use real-time bleaching alerts
- Study by Logan et al. (2012) presented at the 12th International Coral Reef Symposium
The authors found that the “MMMmax” method for predicting bleaching has the highest predictive power at all spatial and temporal resolutions.Coral reef managers who subscribe to NOAA’s Coral Reef Watch can better rely on real-time bleaching alerts.
Author: Logan, C.A., J.P. Dunne, C.M. Eakin, and S.D. Donner
Year: 2012
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Proceedings of the 12th International Coral Reef Symposium, Cairns, Australia, 9-13 July 2012, 10A Modelling reef futures